PartialLogo
Opinion

Mark Langdon: No magic from Graham Potter at West Ham

Mark Langdon analyses which teams Leeds and Burnley will be out to catch

West Ham manager Graham Potter
West Ham manager Graham Potter Credit: CameraSport via Getty Images

The three promoted clubs will go straight back down to the Championship from the Premier League for the second season in succession which might be a sobering thought once the celebrations have calmed down at Leeds and Burnley after they booked their top-flight tickets on Monday.

Analysing their squads feels futile until transfer activity is decided in the summer. 

Burnley's underlying numbers would suggest they will do well to survive without significant improvement, unlike Leeds, but will the Whites be able to play in the same dominant manner in the league above? 

It would only be right to assume whoever wins the playoffs faces a daunting task, although one of the challenges for Burnley and Leeds will be finding a Premier League team bad enough to target in the race for 17th spot. Much has been made of the jump between the two leagues and the steady improvement of the regular stragglers is only going to make that task tougher.

Let's assume that Liverpool, Arsenal and Chelsea won't be going down and the same will be true for Manchester City unless they are hit with a massive points deduction, while founding members of the big six Manchester United and Tottenham can't be any worse than this season. Even if both are, they have nearly hit 40 points which would be a struggle for any of the promoted clubs anyway.

Newcastle and Aston Villa have made the jump up to end talk of a closed circle for the big six which leaves Leeds and Burnley looking at Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth, Fulham, Brighton, Brentford, Crystal Palace, Everton, Wolves and West Ham.

It's possible the distraction of European football for Forest might drag them down, but owner Evangelos Marinakis has deep pockets and it would be a long way down from fourth to relegation while mid-table staples Brighton, Brentford and Palace know their place in the ecosystem which stands them in good stead.

Everton, under new ownership and with their stadium ready for next season, are likely to get better rather than worse and even when the Toffees were terrible they were always able to find a way out of their sticky situation.

Wolves are unrecognisable under Vitor Pereira from the start of the season under Gary O'Neil. Most pundits seem to think O'Neil is a decent manager, but Wolves and Bournemouth have both got better since replacing him. As Matt Le Tissier might say: makes you think...

Talking of Bournemouth, they are perhaps vulnerable. Influential players are being linked with moves away and a combination of departures, plus possible European qualification is dicey. Throw in last summer's departure of shrewd operator Richard Hughes, who has contributed behind the scenes to Liverpool's success, and the Cherries could be ripe for a slip, but if coach Andoni Iraola remains the tumble should not be dramatic enough for relegation.

Fulham's Marco Silva has jumped to joint-favouritism alongside Mauricio Pochettino to be Tottenham's manager for next season, so a change at the top might make them vulnerable, but it's another London club who need a serious wake-up call.

West Ham, 17th this season, have been poor all season and the change in manager from Julen Lopetegui to Graham Potter has made little impact. Lopetegui left with the Hammers 14th and on a points-per-game average of 1.15, which is a better return than Potter's 13 points from as many matches.

Potter faces a big summer because any further slippage makes them relegation candidates. 

Since he arrived only the bottom three have picked up fewer points and their tally of 13 goals is equal to that of Ipswich in the same period and just one more than Southampton. Distracted duo Spurs and United are on West Ham's run-in, so they might pick up a few cheap points before the climax, but that should not detract from a really poor campaign in which possible excuses for failure are less obvious than they are for other clubs in the bottom third.


Read more from Mark Langdon:

Mark Langdon: Cup runs can't compensate for league losses 

Mark Langdon: How does Mohamed Salah's new deal impact next season's title betting? 

The numbers behind Illan Meslier's Leeds axe 

"Future of football" Andoni Iraola is a manager in demand 

Paris St-Germain are finally winning hearts 

The numbers behind Burnley's remarkable defence 

Don't be sucked in by home and away form


Click for free bets and betting offers from the Racing Post


Commercial notice: This article contains affiliate links. Offers are handpicked and come from operators our experts have first-hand experience of. Opening an account via one of these links will earn revenue for the Racing Post, which will be used to continue producing our award-winning coverage of horseracing and sports betting.

author image
Racing Post Sport

Published on inOpinion

Last updated

iconCopy